Even though these teams play in opposite divisions, we can expect two tight matches between these sides, who possess plenty of quality in all areas of the field.
Cruzeiro have a point to prove that they can be a force to be reckoned with once again, so we expect they will give a talented Fluzao squad all they can handle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.19) 
