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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico Pascual Guerrero
AM

America
1 - 3
Atletico Mineiro

Moreno (24')
Moreno (33'), Arrieta (62'), Andrade (70')
Andrade (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hulk (21'), Arana (54'), Vargas (90+7')
Jair (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America de CaliDrawAtletico Mineiro
28.48%26.77%44.74%
Both teams to score 49.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6%55.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4%76.6%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35%34.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63%71.37%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35%24.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83%59.17%
Score Analysis
    America de Cali 28.48%
    Atletico Mineiro 44.74%
    Draw 26.77%
America de CaliDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.48%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 8.38%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.74%

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