Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.