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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Romero (36')
Romero (35'), Peruzzi (43'), Fernandez (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hauche (72')
Florentin (76'), Gomez (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Argentinos Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.81%28.83%30.36%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04%61.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3%81.7%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18%29.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1%65.89%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27%36.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48%73.51%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 40.81%
    Argentinos Juniors 30.35%
    Draw 28.82%
San LorenzoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 30.35%

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