Maldonado
1 - 2
Nacional

Tealde (70')
Sant'Anna (38'), Darias (45+1'), Gonzalez (80')
Darias (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bergessio (36', 46')
Carballo (45+1'), Bergessio (63'), Ramirez (80'), Oliveros (89'), (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Nacional
23.48%	25.17%	51.35%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32%

52.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68%

74.32%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58%

37.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8%

74.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48%

20.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98%

53.01%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 23.48%

Nacional 51.34%

Draw 25.17%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.48%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 12.15% 0-2 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.34%