Nacional
1 - 2
Boston River

Carballo (71')
Orihuela (59'), Lores (66'), Bergessio (85'), Laborda (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Freitas (24'), Larrosa (47')
Romero (69'), Freitas (72'), Falcon (81'), Arias (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Boston River
42.68%	26.69%	30.64%

Both teams to score 50.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84%

54.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43%

75.57%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87%

25.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17%

59.83%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Score Analysis

Nacional 42.67%

Boston River 30.64%

Draw 26.68%

Nacional	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.64%