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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
1 - 1
River Plate

Borja (20')
Borja (6'), Rosero (53'), Moreno (55'), Viafara (62'), Hinestroza (80'), Perea (86'), Cetre (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diaz (90+2')
Ponzio (45'), Rojas (55'), Maidana (59'), Casco (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 1-0 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawRiver Plate
22.66%28.4%48.94%
Both teams to score 40.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.7%64.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.6%83.4%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18%80.82%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36%26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13%61.87%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 22.66%
    River Plate 48.93%
    Draw 28.39%
Atletico JuniorDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 1.36%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.66%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 11.94%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 15.8%
0-2 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-3 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-4 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.48%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 48.93%

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