Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.
