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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
3 - 1
Caracas

Borja (41'), Gutierrez (75'), Pajoy (90+1')
Hinestroza (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akinyoola (86' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Junior and Caracas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawCaracas
45.99%29.33%24.68%
Both teams to score 40.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.23%65.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.58%84.42%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15%28.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29%64.71%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.27%43.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.1%79.9%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 45.99%
    Caracas 24.68%
    Draw 29.32%
Atletico JuniorDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 15.68%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.06%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 12.61%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.68%

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