Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
