Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.