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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 9, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 1
Aldosivi

Montiel (16' pen.), Borre (45+1'), Paradela (85'), Suarez (90+3')
Rojas (43'), Girotti (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braida (41')
Insua (58'), Insua (90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between River Plate and Aldosivi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawAldosivi
63.24%20.46%16.29%
Both teams to score 52.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43%42.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03%64.97%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17%12.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83%39.16%
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75%39.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04%75.96%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 63.23%
    Aldosivi 16.29%
    Draw 20.46%
River PlateDrawAldosivi
2-0 @ 10.61%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 6.8%
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 9.67%
0-0 @ 5.03%
2-2 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.71%
1-2 @ 4.52%
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.29%

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