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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
1 - 1
Santa Fe

Hinestroza (31'), David Osorio Antury (35' pen.)
Steven Angel Bernal (6'), Adolfo Arias Andrade (17'), Arboleda (24'), Torijano Cano (29')
Arboleda (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawSanta Fe
45%24.25%30.76%
Both teams to score 58.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25%43.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86%66.14%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.55%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58%62.42%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 45%
    Santa Fe 30.76%
    Draw 24.24%
Atletico JuniorDrawSanta Fe
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.76%

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