SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
| 26.99% | 23.98% | 49.04% |
| Both teams to score 56.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% | 67.16% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% | 30.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% | 18.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.51% | 49.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.04% |
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