Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
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