SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
54.71% ( -0.19) | 25.51% ( 0.09) | 19.78% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.43% ( -0.23) | 57.57% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.18) | 78.35% ( 0.18) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.17) | 21.1% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.27) | 53.93% ( 0.27) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.03) | 43.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.89% ( -0.02) | 80.11% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.78% |
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