SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
53.05% ( -0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 21.21% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% ( -0.01) | 56.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% ( -0.01) | 77.8% ( 0.01) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -0.04) | 21.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% ( -0.07) | 54.56% ( 0.07) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( 0.07) | 42.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( 0.06) | 78.46% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.21% |
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