SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Monagas win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monagas | Draw | Boca Juniors |
24.91% ( -0.18) | 28.54% ( 0.11) | 46.55% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.05% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.68% ( -0.45) | 63.32% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.3% ( -0.33) | 82.7% ( 0.33) |
| Monagas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.43) | 42.1% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.48% ( -0.38) | 78.52% ( 0.38) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.18) | 27.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.24) | 62.84% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monagas | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.14% Total : 24.91% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 14.93% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.55% |
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