SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Colon |
61.2% ( 0.36) | 23.89% ( 0.02) | 14.91% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 40.04% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.61) | 58.33% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( -0.48) | 78.95% ( 0.48) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( -0.1) | 18.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( -0.16) | 50.33% ( 0.16) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.35% ( -0.89) | 50.65% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.9% ( -0.61) | 85.1% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.42% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 14.91% |
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