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Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeones OlĂ­mpicos

Boston River
3 - 1
Zamora

Costa (23'), Acuna (55'), Gomez (64')
Sosa (21'), Acuna (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Magallan (75')
Dolgetta (53'), Velasquez (72'), Vargas (78'), Martinez (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Boston River and Zamora FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 0-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Zamora
Thursday, February 27 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Zamora FC had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Zamora FC win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawZamora FC
36.84% (0.102 0.1) 29.37% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 33.79% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 43.77% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.88% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)63.12% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.45% (-0.123 -0.12)82.55% (0.123 0.12)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)32.81% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)69.37% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Zamora FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (-0.193 -0.19)34.85% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.204 -0.2)71.59% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 36.84%
    Zamora FC 33.78%
    Draw 29.36%
Boston RiverDrawZamora FC
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 13.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 33.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-2 Wanderers
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-2 Boston River
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Penarol
Wednesday, October 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 3-0 Rentistas
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Zamora
Thursday, February 27 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Zamora 1-0 Plaza Colonia
Thursday, February 13 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Zamora 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 25 at 9pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Zamora
Wednesday, April 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Zamora
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


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