SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Boston River |
42.5% ( 0.18) | 27.63% ( 0.27) | 29.86% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% ( -1.15) | 57.98% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( -0.92) | 78.67% ( 0.91) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.44) | 26.97% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.58) | 62.31% ( 0.57) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.96) | 34.96% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -1.02) | 71.7% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.86% |
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