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Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Rafael Agustín Tovar
BR

Zamora
0 - 1
Boston River


Alonso Yearwood Francis (17'), Dolgetta (58'), Vargas (88')
Aguilar (45+2'), Ramirez (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Urreta (20')
Fernandez (65'), Fernandez (66'), Costa (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Zamora FC and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Boston River 3-1 Zamora
Friday, February 10 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Boston River 0-3 Cerro
Sunday, February 12 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zamora FC win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zamora FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Zamora FCDrawBoston River
43.99% (1.73 1.73) 28.44% (-0.187 -0.19) 27.56% (-1.546 -1.55)
Both teams to score 44.11% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.67% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.51% (0.004999999999999 0)81.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Zamora FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.94199999999999 0.94)27.91% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (1.188 1.19)63.53% (-1.189 -1.19)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (-1.262 -1.26)38.81% (1.26 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.214 -1.21)75.54% (1.212 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Zamora FC 43.99%
    Boston River 27.56%
    Draw 28.43%
Zamora FCDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.451 0.45)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 27.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston River 3-1 Zamora
Friday, February 10 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Zamora
Thursday, February 27 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Zamora 1-0 Plaza Colonia
Thursday, February 13 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Zamora 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 25 at 9pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Zamora
Wednesday, April 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 0-3 Cerro
Sunday, February 12 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 3-1 Zamora
Friday, February 10 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-2 Wanderers
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-2 Boston River
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Penarol
Wednesday, October 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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