SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Boston River |
30.81% ( -0.91) | 29.3% ( -0.23) | 39.89% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.64% ( 0.56) | 63.35% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.27% ( 0.4) | 82.72% ( -0.4) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( -0.38) | 37.15% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( -0.38) | 73.94% ( 0.37) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( 0.97) | 31.05% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( 1.12) | 67.37% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.26)1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.89% |
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