SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.93%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
16.35% ( 0) | 25.85% ( 0) | 57.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% ( -0.01) | 62.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.85% ( -0.01) | 82.15% ( 0.01) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.81% ( -0.01) | 51.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.53% ( -0) | 85.47% ( 0) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -0.01) | 21.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -0.01) | 55.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.82% 2-0 @ 2.51% Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.35% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 17.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.93% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
