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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Parque José Nasazzi
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Boston River
2 - 2
Wanderers

Cordara (71'), Rodriguez (87')
Silva Torrejon (48'), Viega (81'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Mancebo (90+3')
Alberti (80'), Mancebo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veglio (26'), Hernandez (55')
Fonseca (21'), Mana (49'), Aguirre (64'), Fracchia (73'), Hernandez (77'), Garcia (79')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 0-2 Boston River
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, October 17 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawMontevideo Wanderers
34.31% (0.326 0.33) 28.29% (-0.124 -0.12) 37.4% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.84% (0.395 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (0.471 0.47)59.39% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (0.36 0.36)79.77% (-0.361 -0.36)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.46299999999999 0.46)32.54% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.516 0.52)69.07% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (0.11 0.11)30.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)66.79% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 34.3%
    Montevideo Wanderers 37.39%
    Draw 28.29%
Boston RiverDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.079 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 13.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 11.78% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Torque 0-2 Boston River
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Penarol
Wednesday, October 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 3-0 Rentistas
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Boston River
Friday, September 23 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Danubio
Monday, September 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, October 17 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-0 Wanderers
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Penarol
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Rentistas
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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