Libertad
2 - 4
Medellin

Martinez (4'), Ferreira (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Johan Angulo Riascos (37'), H. Estupinan Riascos (60'), Reina (63'), Daniel Monges Avalos (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Independiente Medellin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Independiente Medellin
53.15%	25.55%	21.3%

Both teams to score 46.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.86%

56.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.8%

77.2%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83%

21.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97%

54.03%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49%

41.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.99%

78.01%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 53.14%

Independiente Medellin 21.3%

Draw 25.55%

Club Libertad	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 4.82% 4-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.14%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.17% Total : 21.3%