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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Nov 26, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
3 - 1
Wilstermann

Cesar Enciso (46'), Cardozo (69'), Martinez (90+6')
Ramirez (74'), Oviedo (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osorio (74')
Benegas (14'), Serginho (67')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Club Libertad and Jorge Wilstermann.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawJorge Wilstermann
48.88%26.35%24.77%
Both teams to score 47.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93%56.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85%77.15%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21%56.79%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87%38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.89%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 48.88%
    Jorge Wilstermann 24.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Club LibertadDrawJorge Wilstermann
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 24.77%


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