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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Junior

Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (76')
Palacios (3'), Bolados (23'), Wiemberg (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Colorado (4'), Herrera (19'), Fuentes (23'), Enamorado (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Junior 0-0 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Colo-Colo 0-0 Atletico Junior

It has been a while since either side have been involved in a game of this magnitude, and we expect both teams to be timid and play to avoid defeat rather than win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
56.4% (-0.064 -0.06) 24.88% (0.023 0.02) 18.72% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (-0.029 -0.03)77.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.02% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)52.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 56.39%
    Atletico Junior 18.72%
    Draw 24.88%
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 18.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-1 Fluminense
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 0-0 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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