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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 3
Junior

Hugo (43')
Tiquinho (45+1'), Tche (90'), Santos (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bacca (13' pen., 41'), Fuentes (28')
Pacheco (45+1'), Ceballos (75'), Albornoz (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
63.22% (-0.904 -0.9) 21.85% (0.286 0.29) 14.93% (0.621 0.62)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)50.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.028000000000002 0.03)72.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.282 -0.28)15.52% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (-0.533 -0.53)44.43% (0.535 0.53)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (0.919 0.92)46.15% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.7 0.7)81.84% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 63.22%
    Atletico Junior 14.93%
    Draw 21.84%
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 12.43% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.72% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 6-0 Aurora
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 2-0 Oriente
Wednesday, May 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Junior
Thursday, May 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 1-3 Junior
Friday, April 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 3-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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