Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.1) 
