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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental

Universitario
1 - 1
Junior

Flores (24')
Britos (30'), Flores (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castrillon (5')
Enamorado (30'), Martinez (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (4.7%).

Result
UniversitarioDrawAtletico Junior
69.05% (0.636 0.64) 19.99% (-0.355 -0.36) 10.96% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 40.18% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (0.684 0.68)51.96% (-0.686 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (0.588 0.59)73.7% (-0.59 -0.59)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.41200000000001 0.41)14.01% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.806 0.81)41.55% (-0.808 -0.81)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.73% (-0.106 -0.11)53.27% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.18% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)86.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 69.04%
    Atletico Junior 10.96%
    Draw 19.99%
UniversitarioDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 14.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.165 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.64% (0.149 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 69.04%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 1-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, June 29 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 2-0 Oriente
Wednesday, May 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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