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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
P

Defensa
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Tripichio (68')
Hachen (19'), Bou (36'), Loaiza (43'), Britez (53'), Rodriguez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rony (47', 56')
Luis (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPalmeiras
32.98%26.62%40.39%
Both teams to score 51.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77%53.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.78%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71%30.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53%66.47%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11%60.88%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 32.98%
    Palmeiras 40.38%
    Draw 26.61%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.98%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.38%

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