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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
ID

Palmeiras
5 - 0
Independiente

Rony (11', 74'), Adriano (20'), de Paula (65'), da Silva (81')
de Paula (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Segovia (9'), Garcia (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawIndependiente del Valle
53.53%23.48%22.98%
Both teams to score 54.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75%46.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46%68.54%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79%17.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51%47.49%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69%34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99%71.01%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 53.53%
    Independiente del Valle 22.98%
    Draw 23.48%
PalmeirasDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 53.53%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 22.98%

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