Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
