Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Mejia (17'), Mena (82'), Gracia (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rayer (84')
Delvalle (22'), de la Cruz (56'), Roman (65'), Salcedo (87'), Gimenez (88'), David Villalba Jacquet (88'), Jara (90'), Samudio (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between El Nacional and Sportivo Trinidense.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| El Nacional | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense |
57.39% ( 0) | 22% ( 0.03) | 20.6% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.17) |
| 57.43% ( -0.19) | 42.57% ( 0.2) |
| 35.03% ( -0.19) | 64.97% ( 0.2) |
| 85.4% ( -0.06) | 14.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.13) | 42.69% ( 0.13) |
| Sportivo Trinidense Goals |
| 65.51% ( -0.14) | 34.48% ( 0.15) |
