SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense |
57.39% ( 0) | 22% ( 0.03) | 20.6% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.19) | 42.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.03% ( -0.19) | 64.97% ( 0.2) |
| El Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( -0.06) | 14.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.13) | 42.69% ( 0.13) |
| Sportivo Trinidense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( -0.14) | 34.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0.15) | 71.2% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Nacional | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.6% |
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