Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Romero (35')
Vera (4'), de la Cruz (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Minda (74')
Peralta (40'), Palacios (61'), Minda (69')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sportivo Trinidense and El Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sportivo Trinidense win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | El Nacional |
30.63% ( 0.99) | 24.46% ( 0.36) | 44.91% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0.67) |
| 55.23% ( -1.14) | 44.77% ( 1.14) |
| 32.87% ( -1.11) | 67.13% ( 1.11) |
| Sportivo Trinidense Goals |
| 72.36% ( 0.09) | 27.64% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.82% ( 0.12) | 63.18% ( -0.13) |
| 79.94% ( -1.03) | 20.05% ( 1.03) |
