Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
