Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
