SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Estudiantes |
46.47% ( -0.02) | 27.98% ( 0.02) | 25.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.05) | 61.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( -0.04) | 81.13% ( 0.04) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.03) | 26.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( -0.04) | 61.57% ( 0.04) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% ( -0.03) | 40.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( -0.03) | 76.91% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.55% |
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