SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 8.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.18%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Barracas Central |
73.92% ( -0.11) | 17.89% ( 0.07) | 8.19% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 36.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( -0.15) | 51.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.13) | 73.12% ( 0.13) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( -0.08) | 12.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.78% ( -0.16) | 38.22% ( 0.16) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.26% ( 0.01) | 58.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.01% ( 0.01) | 89.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 2-0 @ 15.86% 1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.9% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.89% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 8.19% |
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