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Wednesday, October 16
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Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
G

Fluminense
2 - 3
Gremio

Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Suarez (43', 64' pen.), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawGremio
64.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.81% (0.013 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.64% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (0.026000000000003 0.03)41.11% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.1% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)37.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.97% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (0.029 0.03)75.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 64.24%
    Gremio 15.81%
    Draw 19.94%
FluminenseDrawGremio
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 64.24%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.94%
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Coritiba
Sunday, November 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, November 23 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, November 26 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-4 Gremio
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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