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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)

Flamengo
5 - 1
Olimpia

Barbosa (30', 77'), Henrique (36'), Arao (49'), Salcedo (55' og.)
Vitinho (65'), Viana (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Eduardo Recalde (45')
Sosa (46'), Ojeda (48'), Otalvaro (65'), Gamarra (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawOlimpia
64.55%22.89%12.56%
Both teams to score 37.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09%58.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6%79.4%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37%48.63%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.32%54.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.31%87.69%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 64.54%
    Olimpia 12.56%
    Draw 22.88%
FlamengoDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 16.82%
2-0 @ 14.48%
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 5.02%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 64.54%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-2 @ 3.07%
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 12.56%

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