Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
