Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.