Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Olimpia win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
