Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
51.52%	24.65%	23.82%

Both teams to score 51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69%

50.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.26%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48%

19.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59%

51.4%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21%

35.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43%

72.56%

Score Analysis

Flamengo 51.52%

Sao Paulo 23.82%

Draw 24.65%

Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.52%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.18% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.82%