Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
