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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Fluminense |
34.09% ( -8.01) | 25.91% ( 0.36) | 40% ( 7.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( -1.11) | 50.04% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( -1) | 72.02% ( 1) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -4.92) | 28.02% ( 4.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( -6.72) | 63.67% ( 6.72) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 3.92) | 24.66% ( -3.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 5.2) | 59.18% ( -5.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -1.05)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -1.5)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -1.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -1.09)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.53)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.09% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1.4) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 1.03)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1.59)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.85)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 1)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.69% Total : 40% |
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