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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
0 - 2
Danubio


Trasante (34'), Bergessio (63'), Martinez (90+5')
Laborda (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Labandeira (44'), Paiva (47')
Sosa (39'), Mendez (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
49.92%27.06%23.03%
Both teams to score 44.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19%59.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91%80.09%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.13%41.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68%78.32%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 49.91%
    Danubio 23.03%
    Draw 27.05%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.03%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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