Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.04) 
