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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
P

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Romana (20')
Barrios (33'), Ferreira (56'), Bareiro (58'), Giay (80'), Romana (86'), Perruzzi (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piquerez (81')
Vanderlan (51'), Lopes (58'), Ferreira (63'), Naves (64'), Rios (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawPalmeiras
28% (0.152 0.15) 30.28% (0.176 0.18) 41.72% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Both teams to score 39.82% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.91% (-0.449 -0.45)67.09% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.68% (-0.304 -0.3)85.32% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.133 -0.13)41.53% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (-0.118 -0.12)78.03% (0.119 0.12)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.423 -0.42)31.89% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (-0.487 -0.49)68.34% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 28%
    Palmeiras 41.71%
    Draw 30.28%
San LorenzoDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 13.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.28%
0-1 @ 15.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, March 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 San Lorenzo
Monday, March 4 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 San Lorenzo
Saturday, February 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro


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