Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.33) 
