SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Palmeiras |
28% ( 0.15) | 30.28% ( 0.18) | 41.72% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.91% ( -0.45) | 67.09% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.68% ( -0.3) | 85.32% ( 0.3) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.13) | 41.53% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% ( -0.12) | 78.03% ( 0.12) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.42) | 31.89% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( -0.49) | 68.34% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.28% | 0-1 @ 15.13% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.71% |
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