Plaza Colonia
1 - 3
Penarol

Quintana (54')
Leonai (32'), Risso (36'), Fernandez (74'), Dibble (76')

FT(HT: 0-3)

A (21'), Kagelmacher (31'), Terans (45+2' pen.)
Trindade (51'), Abascal (55'), Gonzalez (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 42.6%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.57%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
28.42%	28.97%	42.6%

Both teams to score 43.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.97%

63.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.51%

82.49%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14%

38.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.41%

75.59%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67%

29.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69%

65.3%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 28.42%

Penarol 42.6%

Draw 28.96%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.42%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.96%	0-1 @ 13.97% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.47% Total : 42.6%