Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio El Campin
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (38' pen.)
Anangono (41'),
Guerra (41'), Zamora (42'), Martinez (78')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Millonarios and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.
| Result |
| Millonarios | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
53.61% ( 0.52) | 26.9% ( 0.67) | 19.48% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.36% ( -3.18) |
| 37.61% ( -3.3) | 62.39% ( 3.3) |
| 17.97% ( -2.48) | 82.02% ( 2.48) |
| 76.4% ( -1.19) | 23.59% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.33% ( -1.74) | 57.66% ( 1.74) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 52.82% ( -3.29) | 47.17% ( 3.29) |
