Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Anangono (33'),
Diaz (36')
FT
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Millonarios |
45.82% ( -0.08) | 27.05% ( -0.05) | 27.13% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.24) |
| 42.89% ( 0.26) | 57.11% ( -0.27) |
| 22.02% ( 0.21) | 77.98% ( -0.21) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 75.12% ( 0.08) | 24.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.51% ( 0.1) | 59.49% ( -0.11) |
| 63.34% ( 0.26) | 36.65% ( -0.26) |
