Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez
Rodriguez (9')
Rodriguez (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Portuguesa and Palestino.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Portuguesa had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Portuguesa win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.
| Result |
| Portuguesa | Draw | Palestino |
35.97% ( -0.01) | 27.38% ( -0.01) | 36.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.04) |
| 44.12% ( 0.05) | 55.88% ( -0.05) |
| 23.01% ( 0.04) | 76.99% ( -0.04) |
| 70.3% ( 0.02) | 29.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.24% ( 0.02) | 65.76% ( -0.02) |
| 70.71% ( 0.04) | 29.29% ( -0.04) |
